Swiss Re's 2025 sigma report puts 2024 APAC natural catastrophe economic losses at $106 billion and insured losses at $38 billion, leaving a protection gap, the share of weather losses that no insurance covers, of sixty-four percent. The gap ran widest in APAC. Typhoon Yagi's path through Vietnam and the Philippines in September 2024 accounts for much of that: Munich Re's 2025 NatCat report estimates $14 billion in total damage, less than twelve percent of it insured, in markets where non-life penetration sits at 0.8 and 1.0 percent of GDP respectively. Munich Re wrote an estimated twenty percent of the catastrophe reinsurance cover behind the largest commercial risks in both markets, then put risk-adjusted APAC treaty renewal rates up by twelve to eighteen percent at January 2026. The firm that names the gap and the firm that prices it share one registered address in Königinstrasse 107, Munich.
The 2026 Western Pacific typhoon season began June 1. Philippine Sea surface temperatures sat between 0.3 and 0.5 degrees Celsius above the 1991-2020 mean at season open, per Japan Meteorological Agency data published June 10. Warmer water does not guarantee more storms. It raises the ceiling on intensity for any that form. The direct insurers, called cedants, across the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam reset their catastrophe reinsurance limits at the May 2026 APAC renewal, with risk-adjusted rate changes landing between eight and thirteen percent, per Aon's June 2026 treaty renewal briefing, the third consecutive year of above-inflation premium movement in the region. The next price reset falls at the August 2026 mid-year renewal, when Bangkok-based cedants reopen their monsoon-season flood treaties.